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in the country and even the global economic environment weak operation today, large chemical industry professional throughout in excess capacity, weak need insist on low profit operation under severe negative. But as a national policy under control quantity of freon - goods Two fluorine monochloro methane ( R22) In the past two years, can still insist on 25% 45% of the surplus space! According to zhuo and understand information, under all freon occupational low negative profit mall, R22 refrigerant has in terms of yield, surplus.
1。 Fu xi evil place to lean on, high surface under
itself under severe overcapacity bad methylene fluoride a chloride ( R22) After 2012 he took to the quoted price slide way, produce business capital to continue to offer delivery. But in 2014 countries for the R22 refrigerant, foaming agent professional after quota system is dealt with, in order to supply the quantitative factors causing its offer of more than 40% increase.
however, man-made factors under the market environment are at risk of strong, high there will be 'YongFu', under the underground factory secretly production scheduling intense impact the supply of R22 'quantitative' good! In 2015, according to zhuo gen information understanding in the air conditioning professional production decline significantly, repair way need a weak market, underground factory about under the quota of R22 refrigerant impact extremely competitive quotation. In the second half of the year to date, quotation or as high as 20%.
2。 Price slumped R22 refrigerant is still considerable profit under
to October 8, 2015, the domestic main company R22 refrigerant aproll mercy ex-factory price has dropped to 10000 yuan/ton, in spite of the heavy falls in the mall, produce business unit profit space is still to be reckoned with. Zhuo and information data, October 8, regional trichloromethane aproll quoted price is in 1470 yuan/ton, hydrofluoric acid to offer mercy is in 6800 yuan/ton, after calculation, produced in 7800 yuan/ton at the mercy of merchant processing, R22 in 28% profit space.
3。 Under the cold years R22 refrigerant in the future market opportunities
according to zhuo and understand information, R22 refrigerant 2014 bid up the primary power supply from the quota system 'quantitative', the national environmental protection in the future for the quota of refrigerant R22 reduction will continue until at least 2040 disappear completely. That is to say, 25 years in the future, the market supply of refrigerant R22 will continue to decline, from the point of subjective, R22 refrigerant itself is still in the direct policy under the environment of maintenance, in business need to smooth, underground factory by the guidelines or mall to root out later, on both sides of the refrigerant R22 price will have a significant rise in space.
4。 Now is hovering R22 refrigerant market risk is extremely high
from now market situation, R22 refrigerant in the future need to pressure by three aspects:
the top of the list. Substitute gradually sprout and by policy. According to zhuo and understand information, now domestic and even world mainstream produce air conditioning company is gradually add R32 and R290 the produce of the air conditioner to replace R22, but from the point of information on the development of the domestic practice, R290 air conditioner produces business produce poor motivation, R32 air conditioner skills not sophisticated.
2. Air conditioner production slowdown in recent years, a single month decline in output value representation. Follow the malaise of domestic real estate profession, also produce air conditioning business sell suffer from great pressure. Zhuo and information data, air conditioning output value over the years insist on basic 8% mercy, but just check data in 2015, air conditioning output 6% year-on-year decline, at the mercy of air-conditioning professional vision underdog of refrigerant R22 is needed.
the third. Repair shop need a weak, fake goods weakened surplus city needs. Zhuo gen information understand, on the one hand, the underground factory constantly impact shipment under the quota of R22 refrigerant resources together, conventional factory also against to the methylene chloride to R22 refrigerant cylinders 'procuring', under the market environment of weak need, direct expansion of R22 refrigerant quota resources, add professional 'excess' bearish.
all of the above, zhuo information thought, in spite of R22 refrigerant units profit space is very high, but the sheer investment ways, even if in the future to follow the quota of gradually reduced the supply side down, and follow on the surface of the offset and needs of the substitute decline, R22 refrigerant offer difficult to have the possibility of a significant increase in the future.
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