New crown pneumonia outbreak on the influence of the refrigerant market have how old?

At the beginning of the end, a sudden outbreak to press the pause button on a lot of cities in China. Most companies opened & other; Frozen & throughout; Forced to extend mode, the Spring Festival holiday. Most people can only choose & other; Home & throughout; Every day in the home, brush with WeChat, weibo and news focus on the progress of the epidemic. So in the last more than a month & other; Holiday & throughout; What are the changes, the refrigerant market? Late new crown pneumonia outbreak of refrigerant price what is the effect? Years ago we mentioned, R22 refrigerant because enterprise quota finished by the end of 2019, the market out of stock, the price is high. As the release of the 2020 annual production quotas, the market have any change? Now let's look at the latest production quotas: ecological environment the latest release of the hydrogen in 2020 CFCS ( HCFCs) Production quota allocation table, 2020 production quotas to 22 of R22 refrigerant. 480000 tons, is cut 4, 2019). 220000 tons. The second generation of refrigerant is used to replace CFCs HCFCs ( Hydrogen CFCS) For R22, the most representative products. Developed countries have already eliminated the use of HCFCs, but our country in building air conditioning and refrigeration with refrigerant R22 products dominated for a long time. Owing to the important influence of ozone depletion and global warming, the Montreal protocol for R22 refrigerant made clear rules to disable the deadline. According to the regulation, our country must be completed in 2030, out of the production and consumption, of which 10% cuts by 2015, to cut 67, 2025. 5%, 2030 - In addition to keep 2 in 2040. 5% maintenance purpose will achieve full elimination. In China as early as in 2013 in response to the Montreal protocol targets, the production and consumption of HCFCs such as R22 implement quota system, and set the high barriers to entry, the production of refrigeration in HCFCs quota from 30 in 2013. 80000 tons of gradually cut to 22, 2020. 480000 tons. After continuous quota management, the second generation of R22 refrigerant refrigeration core products in our country has reduced 35% of the total production capacity, to realize the Montreal protocol and step out HCFCs substantive performance stage. R22 refrigerant production quotas falling nearly 16%, the market demand will be reduced? According to incomplete statistics, in 2019 our country R22 refrigerant requirements include: about 60000 tons of air conditioning and other related manufacturers, service market of about 100000 tons, exports about 100000 tons, the total of about 260000 tons, compared with 26 throughout the year. 70000 tons of production quotas are basic in tight balance, of course, this is just a simple estimate, the service market demand, after all, there are a lot of uncertainty, the data can't accurate control. Someone will ask: since production quotas to reduce, not demand goes down? Yes, the influence of the second generation of refrigerant HCFCs global elimination process, air conditioning factory and export demand will be reduced year by year, but drop ratio should not collapse, and in theory, there is a certain lag. So we estimate the market demand of refrigerant R22 in 2020 or down a total of 20000 tons is the total demand of about 240000 tons, compared with the 22. 480000 tons of production quotas, still there will be at least 1. 50000 tons of supply and demand gap. Refrigerant supply and demand imbalances will what does that mean? Let's review the price movements of refrigerant R22 in recent 10 years. 1, 2010 - In 2011 China began to work for exploration and production of fluorite double total amount control, then the fluorine chemical industry, including fluorite, hydrofluoric acid, rise in the upstream raw material prices across the industrial chain, at the same time & other Home appliances to the countryside & throughout; 、“ To old change new & throughout; Such as electrical appliances industry support policy releasing, coupled with generally high temperatures around the world, and pull the air conditioning refrigeration appliances demand directly. Dual power supply and demand prices, R22 refrigerant from a hat-trick of lowest price of less than 9000 yuan/ton, up to 28000 yuan/ton, up more than three times. But at the end of 2011 as domestic refrigerant high-speed expansion capacity, weak demand lead to overcapacity, dropped sharply at the start of refrigerant entering the last 3 years & other Cold wave period & throughout; 。 2, under the influence of production quotas in 2015, combined with European HCFCs ban, refrigerant prices have gone up. But as the new refrigerant replacement products ( R290, R32, etc. ) To speed up the marketization process and quota products flooding the market, this wave rally to end soon, refrigerant low price again. 3, 2017 supply side reform push backward production capacity gradually eliminated, local governments have issued a strict environmental policy, the upstream raw material supply, production enterprises, vice acid ZhangKu serious, refrigerant production costs are greatly increased. So in the meantime, R22 refrigerant production quota reduction, air conditioning factory production capacity, market supplies, refrigerant prices began to rebound, R22 refrigerant prices soared to 24000 yuan/ton. As the raw material supply gradually ease tensions and terminal market demand less than expected, refrigerant prices again, weaker R22 refrigerant lowest quotation is less than 2019 13000 yuan/ton. 4, R22 refrigerant quota exhausted at the end of 2019, the upstream raw material supply to reduce again, the market appear break goods phenomenon, then the price. Most manufacturers don't order, quotation is generally increase to more than 17000 yuan/ton. New crown pneumonia outbreak affect the return to work and production enterprise, refrigerant significant fluctuations in the market.

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