Air conditioning refrigerant season on the year the price of the central uplift

1。 Export growth, refrigerant.com/refrigerant-gas' target='_blank'>air conditioning refrigerant fill inventory pull the refrigerant demand. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, by 2018 in February, 17% year-on-year growth in domestic air-conditioner production, still maintain a rapid growth since 2017; Air conditioning downstream of the real estate investment growth is marginal declined slightly but is still positive growth, at the same time this year the foreign macroeconomic recovery drive external positive, customs data showed that air conditioning exports year-on-year growth in January 27. 2% to a new high since 2012; Exports account for higher domestic air conditioning, accounts for about 30% of the total annual output, thus largely led demand in the downstream air conditioning refrigerant. Air-conditioning sales season is usually from April to September each year, and the production peak season in the year to may, usually so it is still in refrigerants in the front of the season, after last year to inventory at the same time, the current industrial chain inventory low, dealer inventory will stronger. Taken together, we can judge this year refrigerant demand is weak in 2017. 2. Green supply is hard to release still under high pressure. Domestic three generations of refrigerant capacity has obvious improvement plan, according to the travelling expenses statistics, according to a 2018 R125 and R32 two products capacity expansion plans, r410a expected expansion of capacity in 5-2018 80000 tons, domestic overall capacity will significantly increase. But under the condition of continuous fermentation environmental factors, by-products produced by the hydrofluoric acid supply source and the waste acid ZhangKu driving device such as a factor of instability will continue to limit the refrigerant industry construction, according to estimates from the environmental cost of raw materials such as chloride, hydrofluoric acid (about 800 - 1200 yuan/ton. Second generation refrigerants, R22 production and use quotas in 2018 is expected to further compression, production or have fallen to below 500000 tons, considering the refrigerant R22 the demand continues to grow, industry supply and demand more nervous. 3. Fluorite and hydrofluoric acid supply, cost support is significant. Refrigerants are the main raw material cost for hydrofluoric acid. So far, the domestic price of anhydrous hydrofluoric acid has risen since 15 this year. 4% to 15000 yuan/ton, fluorite price ( Dragon flotation CaF2 powder, 97% or higher SiO2 content is 1 or less. 5) Rose 11. By 3% to 3400 yuan/ton. 2018 domestic environmental efforts are expected to grow, hydrofluoric acid plant shutdown or technical phenomenon continues, with the central and local environmental protection check that the normalized and the implementation of the green taxes, anhydrous hydrofluoric acid overall construction will continue low level, the decline in the market as a whole supply still exist certain expectations. Hydrofluoric acid upstream fluorite belongs to the non-renewable resources, can supply is limited, and combined with the domestic environmental inspections will continue to increase, mines halt production phenomenon will continue to expand, the overall level of supply more tighter than usual.

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