Refrigerant surge can continue | refrigerants forecast in 2019

2019 - 02 - 21 2018 refrigerants higher and all the way, what are the reasons behind what? In 2019, refrigerant market? Prices can continue? High pressure environmental policy lead to a tight raw material supply in the first half of 2018, R22 prices keep rising, prices are high. R32 market overall inventory is low, the domestic demand and export market demand are stable, manufacturers inventory has a certain growth. Everything device production enterprise operation load held steady overall. R410a market supply is higher, the businessman to most on-demand procurement. R125 device production enterprise operation load level, generally keep low inventory operation. Companies said, refrigerant supply nervous, the market for insufficient, mainly because of environmental policies, leading to a large number of enterprises to curtail or shut down. Why the environmental protection will have great influence to the refrigerant enterprise? Because a large number of fluoride refrigerants by-product during the production of hydrochloric acid, the byproduct hydrochloric acid treatment is difficult, usually as a low-end hydrochloric acid digestion, sold to the downstream enterprises such as reform of environmental regulation to strengthen and supply side factors, downstream enterprise starts falling by-product hydrochloric acid demand, refrigerant caused waste acid waste acid is difficult to handle, ZhangKu, companies are forced to reduce the work load caused by a lack of supply. Figures show that 2018 fluorite 42 prices sharply higher. 20%, the price is 2555 yuan/ton, earlier this year prices sharply higher to the end of 3633. 33 yuan/ton, rise up to 42. 20%. Fluorite all-time high prices at the end of 2018, the fluorine chemical industry after years of recession, finally ushered in the supply of the peak season. With R22 as an example, from 2016 BaJiuQianYiDun, climbed to around twenty-three thousand. 2018 hydrofluoric acid market prices after suppression Yang first, in the first half of the hydrofluoric acid market prices falling, but in the second half of the hydrofluoric acid market prices continue to rise. Taken together, the hydrofluoric acid price is at the beginning of 12958. 33 yuan/ton, price is 14125 yuan/ton, the end of the year up to 9. Peak appeared in 00%, year on February 10, 15475 yuan/ton, the year the price low in May 18, 9116. 67 yuan/tons, annual maximum amplitude for 41. 09%. At the same time, the environmental protection as a double-edged sword, some scale, complete equipment, qualification of enterprises for spring. Limited quota refrigerant supply according to the regulations of the Montreal protocol, the second generation of refrigerant could go completely eliminated, and according to the developed countries and developing countries set a timetable, different selection of developed countries began to freeze in 1996 consumer base, buffer for 24 years, will completely eliminate the use of the second generation in 2020; Developing countries elimination process slightly slower than the developed countries. Must be frozen in 2013, the production and consumption, cut since 2015, buffer for 17 years, and in 2030, eliminated. Our country since 2013 has been for the second generation of the consumption and production of refrigerant HCFCs quota policy, from 30, 2013. 80000 tons in 2015 to 27 cuts. The remaining 200000 tons, 40000 tons, to 2020, 2030 is completely eliminated. The third generation of refrigerant ODP value is 0, but high GWP value, still can cause global warming greatly accelerated, belongs to products will be eliminated. On October 10, 2016, the Montreal protocol 28 times the conference of the parties by amendment of hydrofluorocarbons cuts. Agreement also according to the economic development of developed countries and developing countries and developed different exit roadmap, our commitment to cut HFCs gradually since 2024. China as the Montreal protocol, play important roles, need to eliminating ODS materials in advance. However, in recent years, and the downstream air conditioning enterprise demand, cold air conditioning yield rose 13 2018. 1%; Sales rose 13. 5%; Although growth rate from 2017 cold years have narrowed considerably and but still maintained a double-digit growth. From the household air conditioning refrigerant R22 is main, and R32, R410A, R32 development rapidly in recent years, the three products each one-third; This year due to a lack of air conditioning refrigerant R410A, R32 oil, R22 models of relatively high, but R22 is in period of products, supply quotas, R32 and R410A proportion will gradually increase. And on the extensive use of the third generation of refrigerant, the third generation product: nervous. 2019 how: refrigerant will still high although the refrigerant in 2018 led, but subsequent also for how long? Officials pointed out that environmental pressure is still 2019, fluorite, such as hydrofluoric acid raw material prices will remain high. In addition, by environmental governance in recent years, not the compliance of the production enterprises were shut down or rectification, the enterprise will be more standardized, stable production. Moreover, refrigerant R22 as part of the as, as the process of elimination, quota will be reduced 25% by 2020; In 2020 - but HFC refrigerant selection policy In 2022 as a benchmark, 2019 domestic R32, R125 capacity will be doubled.
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